BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
#54 Northern Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.76 |
26.76 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.68 |
377.68 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Northern Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense (#113)
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.55 |
22.49 (-4.06) |
21.55 |
17.00 (-4.54) |
17.00 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
351.00 |
305.04 (-45.96) |
354.82 |
333.19 (-21.63) |
333.19 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
5.47 (-0.67) |
5.17 |
4.82 (-0.35) |
4.82 (+0.00) |
Defense (#12)
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.82 |
28.68 (+6.86) |
18.73 |
19.53 (+0.80) |
19.53 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
309.64 |
388.82 (+79.18) |
281.45 |
310.00 (+28.54) |
310.00 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.15 |
6.24 (+1.09) |
4.62 |
4.83 (+0.21) |
4.83 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-31 |
Western Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 54-15 |
1-0 |
2024-09-07 |
@Notre Dame |
7.80 |
36.91 |
+29.11 |
44.71 |
3.31% |
W 16-14 |
2-0 |
2024-09-21 |
Buffalo |
22.82 |
16.77 |
-6.05 |
39.58 |
59.70% |
L 20-23 |
2-1 |
2024-09-28 |
@NC State |
20.68 |
25.65 |
+4.97 |
46.33 |
42.03% |
L 17-24 |
2-2 |
2024-10-05 |
Massachusetts |
29.55 |
14.66 |
-14.89 |
44.21 |
73.88% |
W 34-20 |
3-2 |
2024-10-12 |
@Bowling Green |
14.12 |
17.29 |
+3.17 |
31.42 |
44.92% |
W 17-7 |
4-2 |
2024-10-19 |
Toledo |
18.52 |
18.07 |
-0.45 |
36.58 |
50.72% |
L 6-13 |
4-3 |
2024-10-26 |
@Ball State |
29.73 |
16.76 |
-12.96 |
46.49 |
70.79% |
L 23-25 |
4-4 |
2024-11-07 |
@Western Michigan |
23.38 |
18.59 |
-4.79 |
41.97 |
57.69% |
W 42-28 |
5-4 |
2024-11-14 |
Akron |
24.12 |
12.57 |
-11.55 |
36.69 |
68.52% |
W 29-16 |
6-4 |
2024-11-20 |
@Miami (OH) |
12.52 |
15.56 |
+3.05 |
28.08 |
45.11% |
L 9-20 |
6-5 |
2024-11-30 |
Central Michigan |
24.19 |
10.94 |
-13.25 |
35.13 |
71.25% |
W 24-16 |
7-5 |
2024-12-23 |
@Fresno State |
16.66 |
18.73 |
+2.07 |
35.39 |
46.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
7-6 |
53.02% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
8-5 |
46.98% |
53.02% |
46.98% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-12 |
0.01% |
2-11 |
0.07% |
3-10 |
0.66% |
4-9 |
2.99% |
5-8 |
8.59% |
6-7 |
17.33% |
7-6 |
23.81% |
8-5 |
22.78% |
9-4 |
15.25% |
10-3 |
6.57% |
11-2 |
1.75% |
12-1 |
0.20% |
13-0 |
0.00% |