BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#54 Northern Illinois 2024 Season Summary

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National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Northern Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#113)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 26.55 22.49 (-4.06) 21.55 17.00 (-4.54) 17.00 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 351.00 305.04 (-45.96) 354.82 333.19 (-21.63) 333.19 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.14 5.47 (-0.67) 5.17 4.82 (-0.35) 4.82 (+0.00)

Defense (#12)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 21.82 28.68 (+6.86) 18.73 19.53 (+0.80) 19.53 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 309.64 388.82 (+79.18) 281.45 310.00 (+28.54) 310.00 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.15 6.24 (+1.09) 4.62 4.83 (+0.21) 4.83 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.0

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Western Illinois Non-FBS Opponent W 54-15 1-0
2024-09-07 @Notre Dame 7.80 36.91 +29.11 44.71 3.31% W 16-14 2-0
2024-09-21 Buffalo 22.82 16.77 -6.05 39.58 59.70% L 20-23 2-1
2024-09-28 @NC State 20.68 25.65 +4.97 46.33 42.03% L 17-24 2-2
2024-10-05 Massachusetts 29.55 14.66 -14.89 44.21 73.88% W 34-20 3-2
2024-10-12 @Bowling Green 14.12 17.29 +3.17 31.42 44.92% W 17-7 4-2
2024-10-19 Toledo 18.52 18.07 -0.45 36.58 50.72% L 6-13 4-3
2024-10-26 @Ball State 29.73 16.76 -12.96 46.49 70.79% L 23-25 4-4
2024-11-07 @Western Michigan 23.38 18.59 -4.79 41.97 57.69% W 42-28 5-4
2024-11-14 Akron 24.12 12.57 -11.55 36.69 68.52% W 29-16 6-4
2024-11-20 @Miami (OH) 12.52 15.56 +3.05 28.08 45.11% L 9-20 6-5
2024-11-30 Central Michigan 24.19 10.94 -13.25 35.13 71.25% W 24-16 7-5
2024-12-23 @Fresno State 16.66 18.73 +2.07 35.39 46.69% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
7-6 53.02% 0.00% 100.00%
8-5 46.98% 53.02% 46.98%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-12 0.01%
2-11 0.07%
3-10 0.66%
4-9 2.99%
5-8 8.59%
6-7 17.33%
7-6 23.81%
8-5 22.78%
9-4 15.25%
10-3 6.57%
11-2 1.75%
12-1 0.20%
13-0 0.00%