BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
FAQ |
The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Northern Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Northern Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.55 |
22.49 (-4.06) |
22.67 |
16.69 (-5.98) |
16.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
351.00 |
305.04 (-45.96) |
369.89 |
344.01 (-25.88) |
344.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
5.47 (-0.67) |
5.45 |
5.07 (-0.38) |
5.07 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.82 |
28.68 (+6.86) |
18.89 |
18.79 (-0.10) |
18.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
309.64 |
388.82 (+79.18) |
285.33 |
315.66 (+30.33) |
315.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.15 |
6.24 (+1.09) |
4.55 |
4.88 (+0.32) |
4.88 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Western Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 54-15 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Notre Dame |
6.20 |
33.65 |
+27.46 |
39.85 |
5.96% |
W 16-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Buffalo |
25.20 |
15.43 |
-9.77 |
40.62 |
65.67% |
L 20-23 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@NC State |
20.88 |
24.39 |
+3.51 |
45.28 |
44.37% |
L 17-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Massachusetts |
28.14 |
9.93 |
-18.21 |
38.07 |
79.20% |
W 34-20 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Bowling Green |
13.31 |
16.80 |
+3.49 |
30.11 |
44.41% |
W 17-7 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Toledo |
18.30 |
20.01 |
+1.71 |
38.31 |
47.25% |
L 6-13 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ball State |
29.21 |
15.76 |
-13.45 |
44.97 |
71.57% |
L 23-25 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-07 |
@Western Michigan |
25.51 |
19.88 |
-5.63 |
45.39 |
59.04% |
W 42-28 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-14 |
Akron |
26.14 |
10.88 |
-15.27 |
37.02 |
74.49% |
W 29-16 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-20 |
@Miami (OH) |
11.83 |
14.40 |
+2.57 |
26.22 |
45.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Central Michigan |
26.23 |
10.79 |
-15.43 |
37.02 |
74.75% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
13.84% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
51.91% |
13.84% |
86.16% |
| 8-4 |
34.25% |
65.75% |
34.25% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.09% |
| 3-9 |
0.66% |
| 4-8 |
3.35% |
| 5-7 |
9.84% |
| 6-6 |
19.45% |
| 7-5 |
25.76% |
| 8-4 |
23.08% |
| 9-3 |
12.68% |
| 10-2 |
4.34% |
| 11-1 |
0.72% |
| 12-0 |
0.02% |