BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Northern Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Northern Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.55 |
22.49 (-4.06) |
20.80 |
17.79 (-3.01) |
19.55 (+1.76) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
351.00 |
305.04 (-45.96) |
341.00 |
362.11 (+21.11) |
340.71 (-21.40) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.14 |
5.47 (-0.67) |
4.91 |
5.18 (+0.27) |
5.29 (+0.11) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.82 |
28.68 (+6.86) |
17.60 |
20.56 (+2.96) |
23.60 (+3.05) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
309.64 |
388.82 (+79.18) |
249.00 |
310.90 (+61.90) |
340.12 (+29.22) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.15 |
6.24 (+1.09) |
4.37 |
5.15 (+0.78) |
5.56 (+0.41) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Western Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 54-15 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Notre Dame |
8.87 |
39.88 |
+31.01 |
48.75 |
0.26% |
W 16-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Buffalo |
20.87 |
13.21 |
-7.66 |
34.08 |
62.28% |
L 20-23 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@NC State |
18.99 |
29.14 |
+10.15 |
48.13 |
33.72% |
L 17-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Massachusetts |
34.57 |
13.40 |
-21.17 |
47.97 |
83.96% |
W 34-20 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Bowling Green |
20.23 |
22.26 |
+2.03 |
42.49 |
46.74% |
W 17-7 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Toledo |
24.63 |
29.03 |
+4.39 |
53.66 |
42.95% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ball State |
31.38 |
12.91 |
-18.47 |
44.30 |
79.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-07 |
@Western Michigan |
28.49 |
19.24 |
-9.25 |
47.73 |
64.84% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-13 |
Akron |
33.56 |
10.87 |
-22.69 |
44.42 |
86.39% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-19 |
@Miami (OH) |
14.60 |
16.69 |
+2.09 |
31.29 |
46.66% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Central Michigan |
29.41 |
14.13 |
-15.28 |
43.55 |
74.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
0.07% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 5-7 |
1.29% |
0.07% |
99.94% |
| 6-6 |
8.03% |
1.35% |
98.65% |
| 7-5 |
23.26% |
9.38% |
90.62% |
| 8-4 |
35.73% |
32.65% |
67.35% |
| 9-3 |
24.92% |
68.38% |
31.62% |
| 10-2 |
6.71% |
93.30% |
6.70% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.39% |
| 4-8 |
2.44% |
| 5-7 |
8.41% |
| 6-6 |
18.79% |
| 7-5 |
27.10% |
| 8-4 |
24.50% |
| 9-3 |
13.67% |
| 10-2 |
4.08% |
| 11-1 |
0.58% |